Make money by betting on the favorite in El Camino Real Derby

At first glance, Saturday Camino Real derby at Golden Gate Fields may not seem like the most important race. It is not a graduated bet and the purse is only $100,000.

But there’s a lot more to the El Camino Real Derby outcome than meets the eye. The 1 1/8 mile race happens to be a Road to the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve qualifier awarding Kentucky Derby qualifying points to the top four finishers on a 10-4-2-1 basis. Additionally, the winner receives automatic entry into the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes in three months.

Speaking of which, last year talented colt Rombauer completed an El Camino Real Derby/Preakness Stakes double, proving that the El Camino Real Derby is a viable route to the Triple Crown. Perhaps as a result, 11 horses showed up to contest the 2022 edition, including five horses nominated for the Triple Crown.

leading the charge is #2 Mackinnon, which has already made noise on Road to the Kentucky Derby. At Santa Anita Park last month, the chestnut colt finished fourth in a strong edition of the Grade 3 Sham Stakes, beaten just 3 1/2 lengths by two-time undefeated Ranked Stakes winner Newgrange.

The Sham was contested on dirt, but Mackinnon also showed solid form on grass. Last season he picked up victories in the Del Mar Juvenile Turf Stakes and Zuma Beach Stakes before overcoming a tough trip to finish third in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. On this occasion, Mackinnon engulfed some ground late, gaining three lengths in the final eighth mile to finish just 1 3/4 lengths from victory.

The El Camino Real Derby will be run on a synthetic Tapeta track, but turf horses often work well on such footing, and Mackinnon’s pedigree is geared toward success on synthetic. Add to that trainer Doug O’Neill has won with 24% of his starters at Golden Gate Fields, and Mackinnon is clearly the horse to beat in the El Camino Real Derby.

If we place Mackinnon in addition to exotic bets like exacta and trifecta, it leaves the question of who to use below. An attractive option is #6 Wooded. Conditioned by hot trainer Jonathan Wong (also a 24% winner at Golden Gate Fields), Boise showed an affinity for the Golden Gate Tapeta during the one-mile Gold Rush Stakes competition in December. After settling in midfield for much of the race, Boise unleashed an explosive rally down the home stretch, gaining 4 1/2 lengths to win by half a length.

#4 Black Adder also cannot be excluded from consideration. Bought for $620,000 as a yearling, Blackadder lost his first two starts at Santa Anita and Del Mar before returning to Santa Anita for an inaugural one-mile race on Dec. 26. Capitalizing on a fast pace on a tiring track, Blackadder gobbled up ground as the tempo decelerated to win by 1 1/4 lengths.

Going from dirt to Tapeta is a question mark for Blackadder, especially since his sire (Quality Road) and dam sire (Pulpit) were known for their dirt success. But on the bright side, Quality Road has already spawned a pair of El Camino Real Derby winners, so maybe Blackadder will handle the footing just fine.

Gold Rush Third Place #7 Doctor Prescado and first winners #10 The Bellator and #11 Del Mo are there any others worth including on deeper posts.

Depending on the budget you have allocated for betting on the El Camino Real Derby, we have outlined a pair of betting strategies to consider.

$10 budget betting strategy

Exact $5: 2 with 4.6 ($10)

What to say at the betting window: Golden Gate Fields, 8th race, $5 exacta with 2 with 4.6

$30 budget betting strategy

$8 exact: 2 with 4.6 ($16)

What to say at the betting window: Golden Gate Fields, 8th race, $8 exacta with 2 with 4.6

$4 Trifecta: 2 with 4.6 with 4.6 ($8)

What to say at the betting window: Golden Gate Fields, 8th race, trifecta at $4 with 2 with 4.6 with 4.6

$1 Trifecta: 2 with 4, 6 with 7, 10, 11 ($6)

What to say at the betting window: Golden Gate Fields, 8th race, $1 trifecta with 2 with 4.6 with 7,10,11

Good luck and good racing!

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